Concordia Lutheran
Boys - Girls
2024 - 2025 - 2026
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State Rank #1
New Haven Regional Rank #1
New Haven Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 10.8%
Top 5 at State Finals 93.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.9%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Northrop Bruin Invitational New Haven Classic Summitt Athletic Conference New Haven Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
Date 8/23 9/6 9/13 9/27 10/4 10/18 10/25 11/1
Team Rating 84 199 109 517 131 132 167 162 125
Team Adjusted Rating 79 109 87 77 132 104 108 77
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Northrop Bruin Invitational New Haven Classic Summitt Athletic Conference New Haven Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
Mallory Weller 12 17:37 17:32 18:32 17:23 18:02
Daphne Weller 10 18:10 18:11 18:45 18:12 18:15 18:23 18:16 18:02
26  Leighton Archer 9 18:40 19:03 18:41 19:02 19:01 18:53 18:32
52  Hannah Clark 12 19:11 19:17 19:15 19:33 19:38 19:33 19:03
66  Luci Hogue 9 19:24 19:53 19:50 19:28 19:21 19:50 19:04 19:27 19:23
108  Lilly Schlicker 12 19:50 19:15 19:59 19:24 19:11 20:04 20:06 19:52 19:50
111  Maddie Gentz 11 19:51 19:13 19:31 19:43 19:52 20:18 19:43
119  Brylee Crass 11 19:56 19:00 18:55 20:21 20:06 19:47
163  Natalie Cordes 10 20:10 19:49 19:45 19:49 19:56 20:24 20:29
199  Ryne Nolan 9 20:21 20:17 20:32 19:57 20:28
377  Joelle Borchelt 12 21:03 20:25 20:21 21:37
447  Macy Hendrickson 9 21:19 21:26 21:43 21:29 20:46 21:08
557  Riley Zent 10 21:38 19:48 21:21 21:57
591  Addisyn Gentz 9 21:42 21:46 21:42 22:04 21:22 21:33
718  Cami Hogue 9 22:04 21:19 22:20 21:50 21:57 22:28
744  Quinn Strick 12 22:08 22:21 21:57 21:37 22:30
1,209  Sera Shelton 10 23:15 23:59 23:26 23:02 23:04 23:25 23:13
Anna Clem 12 23:54 23:32 24:23 23:27 23:28 24:39 23:50




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 3.0 152 10.8 34.6 24.9 15.6 7.6 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.4 51 62.7 37.2 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.4 34 63.4 36.6



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Daphne Weller 100% 8.3 1.1 3.4 5.4 6.7 7.2 8.3 7.7 7.6 7.7 6.9 6.0 5.0 4.7 3.5 3.1 2.4 2.5 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.6 100.0%
Leighton Archer 100% 24.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.9 1.9 2.5 3.1 2.8 3.4 3.4 4.0 3.5 4.0 3.9 3.9 4.1 3.8 100.0%
Hannah Clark 100% 49.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 100.0%
Luci Hogue 100% 64.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Lilly Schlicker 100% 106.1 98.7%
Maddie Gentz 100% 107.6 98.3%
Brylee Crass 100% 116.6 96.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Daphne Weller 100% 1.0 61.7 24.3 7.9 4.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Leighton Archer 100% 4.4 0.6 8.9 17.8 16.4 17.6 14.5 10.7 6.2 3.8 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Hannah Clark 100% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 3.3 6.1 9.9 11.4 12.7 13.1 11.3 8.4 7.1 4.1 3.2 2.0 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Luci Hogue 100% 13.5 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 2.2 3.7 6.8 8.4 10.3 11.4 10.4 8.7 7.9 5.7 5.4 4.0 3.3 2.9 1.9 1.3 1.2 0.8 100.0%
Lilly Schlicker 100% 23.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.9 2.3 3.5 3.8 4.3 4.4 5.6 6.3 6.5 6.3 7.3 7.4 100.0%
Maddie Gentz 100% 23.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.5 1.9 3.1 4.2 4.5 5.0 4.9 6.2 5.9 6.2 6.8 6.7 100.0%
Brylee Crass 100% 25.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.5 3.2 3.2 4.2 4.6 5.6 5.9 5.5 6.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Daphne Weller 1.0 81.6 11.5 5.2 1.5 0.2 0.0
Leighton Archer 3.2 0.8 25.4 19.0 23.8 22.1 7.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Hannah Clark 6.5 0.1 1.3 2.4 7.8 24.3 28.3 15.6 9.0 4.7 2.8 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0
Luci Hogue 8.3 0.1 0.5 1.2 6.0 13.7 22.4 18.0 12.9 8.3 6.4 5.1 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Lilly Schlicker 14.2 0.1 0.1 1.0 3.3 5.5 7.5 9.2 9.8 11.0 15.4 15.9 12.2 4.4 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Maddie Gentz 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.8 5.2 7.3 8.6 9.9 11.1 15.3 16.3 13.1 4.6 2.4 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Brylee Crass 15.2 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.8 4.8 5.8 7.6 9.8 13.9 16.4 20.3 7.6 4.5 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0